[R] Heteroskedastic Time Series

james at ma.hw.ac.uk james at ma.hw.ac.uk
Mon Mar 5 10:59:20 CET 2007


Hi R-helpers,

I'm new to time series modelling, but my requirement seems to fall just
outside the capabilities of the arima function in R.  I'd like to fit an
ARMA model where the variance of the disturbances is a function of some
exogenous variable.  So something like:

Y_t = a_0 + a_1 * Y_(t-1) +...+ a_p * Y_(t-p) + b_1 * e_(t-1) +...+ b_q *
e_(t-q) + e_t,

where

e_t ~ N(0, sigma^2_t),

and with the variance specified by something like

sigma^2_t = exp(beta_t * X_t),

where X_t is my exogenous variable.  I would be very grateful if somebody
could point me in the direction of a library that could fit this (or a
similar) model.

Thanks,

James Kirkby
Actuarial Maths and Stats
Heriot Watt University



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